"Holy Toledo!"

December 29, 2011

NFL Playoff Picture Simplified: Final Week

Filed under: NFL, Oakland Raiders — Bill @ 10:53 am

One Sunday, one game, one last shot for the teams still trying to qualify for the NFL postseason. Can’t you just see the sign in your head? You know the one, when leaving Reno on your way back home to California, the sign reads “Last Chance Saloon”.

Some teams control their own destiny, others need help. Let’s take a look.

In the NFC:
-Green Bay has locked up everything, home field throughout the playoffs.
-SF 49ers should be able to beat the Rams to clinch the #2 spot in the NFC guaranteeing them a bye in the 1st round & at least one home game.
-New Orleans wins the South, guaranteed at least the #3 seed, & still could sneak into the #2 spot with a win & a 49ers loss.
-Detroit & Atlanta are locked in as Wild Card teams, A Detroit win or Atlanta loss clinches the #5 seed for the Lions. The #5 seed will play at the winner of Dallas/NY Giants. The #6 seed will play at SF or New Orleans in the 1st round.
-Dallas & NY Giants will play Sunday night to determine who wins the East, & earns the #4 seed.

Likely 1st Round NFC Matchups:
Detroit at (Dallas or NY Giants)
Atlanta at (New Orleans or SF)

In the AFC:
-New England needs a win to lock up home field advantage.
-Houston has won the South, & most likely the #3 seed, needs several things to happen to get the #2 spot.
-Baltimore wins the North & the #2 seed with a win at Cincinnati.
-Pittsburgh could still capture the North with a win & a Ravens loss. At worst they are locked in as a Wild Card at the #5 spot.
-Whoever wins the West will be the #4 seed & get one home playoff game.
-Denver wins the West if they beat Kansas City.
-Oakland needs a win & a Denver loss the win the West. They still have a chance at a Wild Card.
-Cincinnati clinches the #5 Wild Card seed with a win vs. Baltimore. A loss doesn’t eliminate them, but they would need help.
-Tennessee & NY Jets need help but still have a chance to earn a Wild Card.

Likely 1st Round AFC Matchups
#5 Wild Card (Baltimore or Pittsburgh) at West champion (Denver or Oakland)
#6 Wild Card (Cincy, Oakland, Tenn., or Jets) at Houston

To give you an idea of how complicated the AFC picture is, consider that as many as five teams could end up with a 9-7 record. Ultimately things could end up going to the 4th tiebreaker, record vs. common opponents.

Attention Raiders Fans:
Since so many of you are fans of the Silver & Black I’ll give you the specifics. WR Jacoby Ford was back at practice this week & may play after missing several weeks with ankle problems. McFadden will not be available yet again.

Oakland clinches AFC West Division:
1) OAK win + DEN loss or tie
2) OAK tie + DEN loss

Oakland clinches a Wild Card spot:
1) OAK win + CIN loss + TEN loss or tie
2) OAK win + CIN loss + NYJ win

“Suck For Luck”
(a.k.a. 1st Pick in the 2012 NFL Draft)
-Indianapolis clinches the #1 pick with a loss to Jacksonville. They’ve won 2 in a row so it’s possible they could screw up with a win.
-St. Louis could earn the #1 pick with a loss & an Indianapolis win.

Should be an interesting Sunday!

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: